Betting On The Fed: 3 Likely Scenarios That May Determine 2024
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Weekly Market Outlook
By Donn Goodman
January 17, 2023
Happy bad (cold) weather January to our loyal readers and subscribers. Hopefully, you are warm, safe, and have power. It is “dreadful” out there unless you are one of the very few who find yourself in a pleasant place with sunny skies, warm(er) weather, and not affected by the crazy Polar Vortex system most of us are under right now.
The Market found its positive footing this past week.
After a negative four day start to the New Year last week, the S&P started the week with a strong day out of the gate on Monday and the first full week of trading for 2024.
For the week, the S&P 500 was up almost 2% and went into the green for the year to date by a small amount (0.29%). The S&P 500 is now up 10 of the last 11 weeks (bullish) and triggered a weekly all-time high as illustrated on the chart below:
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It had been a while since we saw new highs on the S&P 500. See chart below:
All signs are that the markets (S&P 500 & Nasdaq Composite) are broadening out. This, too, is a bullish sign. See chart below:
This week, the S&P was once again carried by the Magnificent 7. Looking at the heat map, it was all about Growth stocks and, in particular, the same technology and AI favored stocks of the mega cap 7 that fueled the majority of returns from 2023. See below:
As you can tell from the upper left corner, the new king is Microsoft. Its market cap now exceeds Apple’s. See the two charts below:
Most of the sentiment readings we follow are continuing to show “green lights” and reflect on the optimistic, bullish stock market environment, for the moment. See chart below:
When thinking/researching about additional market commentary today, I went through all the relevant and hot topics, including the cold weather, the ongoing problems in the Middle East, a potential resolution of keeping the Government open as well as the latest CPI readings, which came out slightly above expectations last week, but not enough to “spook the markets”.
I settled on the recurring theme of “What’s in store for ‘24?”. Today, with the help from a talented and interesting writer (Jim Woods) at our partner firm, Eagle Publishing, I want to tread into several scenarios that could play out for the remainder of 2024 and what effect these could have on the stock market (S&P 500).
Use the link below to continue reading about:
- What’s in store for ’24
- 4 primary factors driving the market’s direction
- Projected levels for the S&P 500
- The Big View Bullets
- Keith’s Weekly Video Market Analysis
The market’s price action and news flow can be confusing and intimidating, but investing in this environment doesn’t have to be. If you would like personal guidance and hands-on management of your assets with the assistance of tactical, risk-managed, strategies, please contact me at [email protected] or Keith at [email protected].
The post Betting On The Fed: 3 Likely Scenarios That May Determine 2024 appeared first on Southern Boating.
Source: https://southernboating.com/marketgauge/betting-on-the-fed-3-likely-scenarios-for-2024
